Female Life Span Going Down In Some Parts Of The U.S.
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Main Category: Public Health
Article Date: 05 Mar 2013 - 9:00 PST
Female Life Span Going Down In Some Parts Of The U.S.
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Life expectancy among some women in the U.S. is steadily declining, according to the latest research published in the journal Health Affairs.
The study indicates that in almost half of the country's counties, women under the age of 75 are dying at rates higher than before.
This is the first study of its kind to identify the trend, which is particularly evident among low-income white women.
Experts believe that the reason women are dying younger in certain parts of the country is due to increased smoking rates, and obesity. Although many are still uncertain as to what the true causes really are.
The average lifespan for a girl born this year is 81 years, compared to 76 among boys. Although over recent years this difference has been decreasing.
The study involved analyzing the mortality rates in a total of 3,141 counties across the country over a period of 10 years. They identified that over the past decade female mortality rates have risen in 42.8 percent of U.S. counties, compared to male mortality rates increasing in only 3.4 percent of counties.
Given the fact that some of the counties are not that heavily populated, the researchers calculated five year averages to try and be as accurate as possible. In addition, they adjusted their results to account for factors such as education and income.
Women dying younger than expected in the whole country - accounting for every county - dropped from 324 to 318 per 100,000. However, in a little under half of the counties it actually increased from 317 to 333 per 100,000.
Why the drop in female life expectancy in so many counties?
A previous study conducted by researchers from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) found that 80% of counties in the USA have fallen further behind the life expectancy average of the top 10 countries in the world. In addition, the study similarly identified that females are doing worse than males.Life expectancy appears to be increasing among educated and affluent women, while declining among those who haven't completed high school.
Counties in the South have the highest smoking rates, and obesity in those areas is widespread - these could be factors that explain why mortality is getting worse in some parts of the country.
Dr. Christopher Murray said: "I think the most likely explanation for why mortality is getting worse is those factors are just stronger in those counties."
He added: "We shouldn't jump to the conclusion that more people are getting sicker in these geographic areas than previously."
A few experts believe the data could indicate a migration of healthy women out of rural areas, relocating to more urban locations of the country, where mortality rates have gone down.
However, Murray does not believe that this is the case, as migration didn't impact male mortality rates.
Written by Joseph Nordqvist
Copyright: Medical News Today
Not to be reproduced without permission of Medical News Today
David A. Kindig, and Erika R. Cheng
Health Affairs
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19 Jun. 2013. <http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/257187.php>
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Visitor Opinions (latest shown first)
This is a rookie error in the use of statistics - Female lifespan
posted by PD East on 5 Mar 2013 at 10:34 amNobel prize winner Daniel Kahneman talks about this fallacy of logic in statistics in his latest book Thinking, Fast and Slow. The funny thing is that the example he used of a false conclusion is mortality counts based by counties in the U.S., almost an exact example of what is stated here! The bottom line is that this is not an unexpected result purely based on random chance.
First, most counties in the U.S. have very few residents, so this headline could probably be more accurately but less sensationally stated as something like "Female life expectancy has fallen in 10% of the U.S. population, while it has risen in 90% of the U.S. population" Put his way, it doesn't take pure conjecture of obesity and smoking rates to come to the conclusion that just like in any random sample of millions of deaths you'll find that some sample members fall below the average and some above.
Added to this, sampling by country ensures small sample sizes, as the researchers tacitly admit by using a 5 year average. As any basic statistic course will tell you, small sample sizes make extreme outcomes much more likely. If a county usually has 2 deaths a year and then has 3 deaths one year, it will have an appreciable impact on the death rate in that county, even averaged over 5 years. A more populous country with 2000 deaths per year that has 2001 deaths one year will see minimal impact on their percentage rate. Again, measuring this by county is a huge statistical error unless the researches were purposely looking for a sensationalist headline.
The truth is, more than half the counties, and probably in more than 90% of the population, female life expectancy is rising, the opposite of what this article is trying to shock you with!
I highly recommend both the authors of this article and the researchers behind this "research" go back to a basic class in statistics and read Mr. Kahneman's latest book!
This is absurd - female lifespan
posted by Tired of the stupid on 5 Mar 2013 at 9:31 amOk, let's take a look at this. 50 years ago, female and male life expectancy was almost identical. Now, women, on average, live longer than men. Men are 50 percent more likely to get cancer and 1/3 more likely to die of heart disease. Women get more benefits, by law, from insurance, than men do. The majority of cancer funding grants are for women, the majority of CDC cancer and heart disease testing is performed on and for women.
Yet now, once again, we are going to hear cries about "women's life expectancy declining" and probably demand for more women's health funding-although we have eight federal offices dedicated to women's health and NONE dedicated to men's health.
Sheesh.
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